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How to View the Tech Sector in Hong Kong Stocks?

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In recent months, the Hong Kong stock market has experienced remarkable growth, particularly in its technology sector, leading to speculation among private equity firms about taking profits after such gainsThe Hang Seng Technology Index has surged over 34% from January 14 to mid-February, outpacing other major indices in the Asian market, including those in mainland ChinaSuch pronounced growth has led to a notable recalibration of risk-versus-reward for investors, who are now contemplating whether it is time to cash in on their investments.

This surge in the market has not gone unnoticedAnalyses indicate that since mid-January, the Hang Seng Index has shown a 15% increase, which is a significant outperformance compared to its A-share counterpartsHowever, recent fluctuations within the Hong Kong market suggest a growing divergence of opinions regarding its future trajectoryAs valuations for certain stocks recover sharply, some private equity managers argue that the comparative value found in A-share markets may present new opportunities for investment.

Among the voices in this discussion is Yu Xiaochang, the director of research and fund manager at a prominent private equity firm, Xiangju CapitalAccording to him, while there is still room for growth within the Hong Kong market, investors must be prudent and consider profit-taking strategies due to the uncertainties inherent in such a volatile environmentHe emphasizes that it is essential to adhere to a disciplined investment strategy, focusing on companies with strong competitive advantages and robust cash flow while implementing risk management practices when confronted with rapidly rising stocks.

In fact, data reveals that from the start of 2025, Hong Kong's tech sector has topped the global performance chartsAs the market rises, so too do investor expectationsSome analysts suggest that the elevated valuations in the tech sector may not reflect the underlying fundamentals, resulting in a situation where skewed pricing mechanisms are at play.

Wang Sheng, a senior fund manager at Xing Shi Investment, posits that the Hong Kong market's leading performance is primarily due to certain listed companies being undervalued compared to their U.S. counterparts that operate in similar sectors

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He notes that such a disparity in valuation—sometimes even reaching a ratio of 1:2—may include irrational components beyond mere financial performanceAs conditions normalize and these disparities begin to close, a significant upward adjustment in valuations is anticipated.

This scenario does not overlook the A-share market's dynamic, which may witness its technology assets catching up as wellAccording to Qiu Xiang, the chief strategist at Citic Securities, the pullback of foreign capital into the Hong Kong market may establish a migration back to A-shares, especially as core assets begin appearing undervaluedThe interplay between the two markets may suggest that as the Hong Kong tech stocks rise, it could catalyze a corresponding reaction in A-share valuations.

Indeed, the numbers speak volumesJanuary 2025 marked a significant inflow of capital into Hong Kong's stock market, with over 150 billion yuan net entering, primarily focused on undervalued sectors such as consumer goods and technologyThis capital influx indicates a reorientation of investment strategies aiming towards long-term stability and value capture amidst market turbulenceWhile A-shares did not mirror the same fervor as their Hong Kong peers, sectors like education, humanoid robotics, and medical services within the A-share domain are beginning to emerge as hotbeds for investment opportunities, experiencing substantial growth.

The humanoid robotics sector, in particular, has proven to be resilient, with investment returns exceeding 30% for certain funds that have strategically positioned themselves early in this spaceThe robust performance of these assets has propelled various active fund managers to reconsider their allocation strategies, pushing passive index funds to increase their holding of robotics-related stocks, suggesting a significant shift in market sentiment.

Adding to the narrative is a recent Goldman Sachs report forecasting that the application of artificial intelligence will increase earnings per share among Chinese companies by approximately 2.5% annually over the next decade

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